Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Apocrypha

Three popular and oft repeated "faulty predictions":
640K ought to be enough for anybody.
-- Bill Gates

I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.
-- Thomas J. Watson

Everything that can be invented has been invented.
-- Resignation letter of Charles H. Duell, US Commissioner of Patents, 1899
While it may be amusing to imagine this sort of short-sightedness, all three are misquotes.

Bill Gates (from Wired): I've said some stupid things and some wrong things, but not that. No one involved in computers would ever say that a certain amount of memory is enough for all time... I keep bumping into that silly quotation attributed to me that says 640K of memory is enough. There's never a citation; the quotation just floats like a rumor, repeated again and again.

Regarding Watson's supposed comment on the number of computers, there's no evidence that he ever said it.

There's a tangled history on Charles H. Duell's misquote but there's no evidence that Duell made this statement nor that he resigned because there was "nothing left to invent".